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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Rams being a -3-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest clip among all teams this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.

Demarcus Robinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (88.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (43.2%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Demarcus Robinson's 2.4 adjusted receptions per game this season marks an impressive regression in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 3.4 rate.

Demarcus Robinson's 53.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.2% rate.

The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has allowed the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.9%) to wideouts this year (58.9%).

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