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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 90.5% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a substantial growth in his air attack volume over last year's 43.2% figure.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 70.2% to 57.2%.

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