Demarcus Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 19

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 19, 2022

Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Demarcus Robinson has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this season (16.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.1%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
Demarcus Robinson's receiving skills have gotten better this year, accumulating 3.1 yards per game compared to a mere 1.7 last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has given their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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