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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 19

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +145.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Demarcus Robinson has been a more important option in his team's passing attack this season (16.5% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving skills have gotten better this year, accumulating 3.1 yards per game compared to a mere 1.7 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to run the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers rank as the 2nd-best collection of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line has given their quarterback just 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game stats across the board.

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