Demarcus Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 17, 2022

Updated Jan 2, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -174.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Demarcus Robinson has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (15.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.1%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Demarcus Robinson's receiving talent has been refined this year, accumulating 3.3 yards per game vs just 1.7 last year.
Demarcus Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.4% to 73.4%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.6%) vs. WRs this year (60.6%).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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