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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+136/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -174.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Demarcus Robinson has been much more involved in his team's passing attack this season (15.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line ranks as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving talent has been refined this year, accumulating 3.3 yards per game vs just 1.7 last year.
  • Demarcus Robinson's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Completion% rising from 66.4% to 73.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 51.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 124.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60.6%) vs. WRs this year (60.6%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their QB a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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