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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+133/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this season (15.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving performance has improved this year, compiling 3.2 yards per game compared to a measly 1.7 last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

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