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Demarcus Robinson
NFL · Player Props
Demarcus Robinson
WR · Baltimore Ravens
Receptions
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022 Updated Dec 11, 2022 6:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Demarcus Robinson Receptions

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+160/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +210 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +160.

Favors Over
  • The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's pass-catching performance improved this season, averaging 3.0 yards per game compared to just 1.7 last season.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60%) to WRs this year (60.0%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
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