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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Demarcus Robinson has been much more involved in his offense's passing game this year (13.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (6.1%).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving skills have improved this season, averaging 2.7 yards per game vs a measly 1.7 last season.
  • The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-worst in football since the start of last season.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in football), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus wideouts this year (62.4%).
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks project as the 4th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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