Demarcus Robinson Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+145/-190).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (14.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.9%).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Demarcus Robinson's play as a receiver has improved this season, notching 2.9 yards per game vs just 1.5 last season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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