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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (-106/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 39.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Demarcus Robinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (90.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.2%).
  • Demarcus Robinson has accrued significantly more air yards this year (77.0 per game) than he did last year (43.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 39.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a significant diminishment in his receiving talent over last year's 54.0 figure.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 52.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.2% figure.
  • Demarcus Robinson's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this season, accumulating just 9.18 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.99 rate last season.
  • The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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