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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Los Angeles Rams vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be rolling with backup QB Jimmy Garoppolo.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 132.8 total plays called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may decline.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (35.8 per game) this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson has run fewer routes this year (84.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (43.4%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pocket protection (and the impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Rams grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • Demarcus Robinson has totaled quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
  • Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 70.2% to 51.0%.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 8.7 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a significant drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 11.0 mark.
  • Demarcus Robinson's skills in generating extra yardage have diminished this year, notching a measly 2.29 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.42 mark last year.

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