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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Rams being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 63.4% of their downs: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (0-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • Demarcus Robinson has gone out for fewer passes this year (88.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (43.2%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Philadelphia Eagles, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 32.3 per game) this year.
  • The Los Angeles O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 38.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season signifies a significant drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 54.0 figure.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 53.7% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 70.2% rate.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 8.8 adjusted yards per target this season conveys a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching skills over last season's 11.0 figure.

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