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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Rams

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

At only 28.08 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Rams offense is positioned as the 9th-fastest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.

Demarcus Robinson has been less involved as a potential target this season (89.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (43.2%).

After averaging 43.0 air yards per game last season, Demarcus Robinson has been rising this season, now boasting 80.0 per game.

This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has been gouged for a massive 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Rams being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Demarcus Robinson's 40.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year shows a significant regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 54.0 mark.

Demarcus Robinson's 53.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year reflects a substantial diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 70.2% rate.

Demarcus Robinson's 8.9 adjusted yards per target this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his receiving ability over last season's 11.0 rate.

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