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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.
  • Demarcus Robinson's 90.5% Route Participation Rate this year illustrates a substantial growth in his air attack volume over last year's 43.2% figure.
  • After totaling 43.0 air yards per game last season, Demarcus Robinson has posted big gains this season, currently pacing 78.0 per game.
  • The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).
  • As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson has accumulated quite a few less adjusted receiving yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (54.0).
  • Demarcus Robinson's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 70.2% to 57.2%.

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