Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 8, 2022 1:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Demarcus Robinson has accrued significantly more air yards this season (29.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
The New Orleans Saints cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in the league this year in pass coverage.
The New Orleans Saints pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.55 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 58.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.9 plays per game.
Demarcus Robinson has run fewer routes this season (52.1% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (62.7%).
Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% falling off from 69.9% to 63.0%.

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