Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+104/-138).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Demarcus Robinson has put up quite a few more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
Demarcus Robinson's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.7.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns defense has surrendered the 6th-most receiving yards per game in football (182.0) vs. wide receivers this year.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.3%) to wide receivers this year (68.3%).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.

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