Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+105/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 63.5% pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects Demarcus Robinson to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this week (14.7% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (9.1% in games he has played).
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
Demarcus Robinson has been among the worst WRs in the game this year, averaging a lowly 14.0 yards per game while ranking in the 22nd percentile among wideouts.
Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.9% to 54.1%.

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