Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (+127/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 36.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this season (15.9% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (6.1%).
Demarcus Robinson has compiled significantly more air yards this season (44.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 32.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 6th-least in the league.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has given their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.