Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's pass game this season (14.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (6.1%).
Demarcus Robinson has totaled many more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Demarcus Robinson has put up a lot more receiving yards per game (35.0) this year than he did last year (22.0).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (60%) to WRs this year (60.0%).
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 5th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

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