Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-116/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -116.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Demarcus Robinson has been much more involved in his offense's passing game this year (13.9% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (6.1%).
Demarcus Robinson has accrued significantly more air yards this season (42.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
Demarcus Robinson has compiled substantially more receiving yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (22.0).
Demarcus Robinson's talent in generating extra yardage have improved this season, compiling 4.23 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a measly 2.79 mark last season.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 52.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens offense as the slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 30.36 seconds per play.
The Denver Broncos defense has given up the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 127.0) to wideouts this year.
The Denver Broncos pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (62.4%) versus wideouts this year (62.4%).

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