Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (14.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.9%).
Demarcus Robinson has totaled significantly more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Demarcus Robinson has notched many more receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

Favors Under

The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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