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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • Demarcus Robinson has been a more integral piece of his team's passing game this season (14.3% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last season (5.9%).
  • Demarcus Robinson has totaled significantly more air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Demarcus Robinson has notched many more receiving yards per game (35.0) this season than he did last season (17.0).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a heavy 13-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • The Baltimore Ravens O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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