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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Demarcus Robinson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Demarcus Robinson has accrued many more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).
  • Demarcus Robinson's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 14.7.
  • The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.9%).
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 48.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

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