Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+580/-1200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Demarcus Robinson has put up quite a few more air yards this year (31.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game).
Demarcus Robinson's 23.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.7.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has allowed the 9th-highest Completion% in the league (68.3%) to wide receivers this year (68.3%).
The Cleveland Browns safeties rank as the 3rd-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 122.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.3 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cleveland Browns defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.9% to 55.2%.

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