Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Demarcus Robinson

NFL · Player Props

Demarcus Robinson

WR · Baltimore Ravens

Receiving TD

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 10, 2022 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-731).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +365.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.8 pass attempts per game versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 5th-most in the NFL.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.58 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 2nd-slowest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Baltimore Ravens have used play action on 29.2% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), making the defense think run and leading to much higher passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the least plays run out of all the games this week at 122.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have run the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 52.2 plays per game.
Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.9% to 54.1%.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has given up the least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.25 per game this year.

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