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Demarcus Robinson

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 11

Baltimore Ravens vs Carolina Panthers

Demarcus Robinson Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+428/-963).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +428.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Demarcus Robinson has accrued many more air yards this season (34.0 per game) than he did last season (23.0 per game).

Demarcus Robinson's 28.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 14.7.

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

The Carolina Panthers pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in the league (70.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (70.9%).

The Carolina Panthers safeties grade out as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a massive 13-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have run the 8th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 56.2 plays per game.

The weather report calls for 17-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Demarcus Robinson's possession skills have diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 69.9% to 58.6%.

More Demarcus Robinson Player Props

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