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Deebo Samuel
NFL · Player Props
Deebo Samuel
WR · San Francisco 49ers
Rushing Yards
San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 7, 2022 Updated Oct 23, 2022 8:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the least plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 4.1 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.
  • The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Deebo Samuel has earned 15.3% of carries this year (99th percentile).
Favors Under
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year at blocking for rushers.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 4th-least yards in football (just 92 per game) vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.4% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
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