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Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-155).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -155.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 6th-most run-centric team on the slate this week with a 43.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 4.4 rush attempts this week, on average, putting him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Deebo Samuel has earned 15.4% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).Deebo Samuel has averaged 27.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the biggest figures in the league among wide receivers and tight ends (100th percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year at run-game blocking.The San Francisco 49ers have faced a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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