Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accumulate 5.3 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.
The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Deebo Samuel has been given 16.7% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).
Deebo Samuel has averaged 31.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among wide receivers and tight ends (100th percentile).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 5th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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