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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-113/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accumulate 5.3 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.
  • The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their run game, and Deebo Samuel has been given 16.7% of rush attempts this year (99th percentile).
  • Deebo Samuel has averaged 31.0 yards per game on the ground this year, one of the largest marks in the league among wide receivers and tight ends (100th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year in run blocking.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 5th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to stopping the run.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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