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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 49ers are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the most run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 6.2 carries in this contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among WRs and TEs.
  • The 49ers are willing to include receivers in their rushing attack, and Deebo Samuel has been given 21.6% of carries this year (99th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 120.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.8 plays per game.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense boasts the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, conceding just 4.07 yards-per-carry.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles grade out as the best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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