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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and traits of each team, the projections expect this game (with an average of 26.04 seconds per play) will speed along at the 3rd-quickest pace among all games this week.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.

This week, Deebo Samuel is anticipated by the model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among wideouts with 7.5 targets.

The model projects Deebo Samuel to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass game in this week's game (24.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (18.2% in games he has played).

This year, the shaky Cowboys pass defense has conceded a whopping 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 8th-biggest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates a rushing game script for the 49ers, who are favored by 5.5 points.

The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers as the 7th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 52.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Deebo Samuel's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 69.3% to 60.6%.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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