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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -155.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brandon Allen this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

With a fantastic 4.1 adjusted catches per game (77th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places as one of the best WRs in the game in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel's 73.9% Route Participation% this season shows an impressive drop-off in his passing offense usage over last season's 90.2% rate.

Deebo Samuel's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 69.3% to 62.7%.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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