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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -122.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.

The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to total 6.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Deebo Samuel has been one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 4.1 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

Deebo Samuel's 41.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 49.2.

Deebo Samuel's 64.0% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 69.3% figure.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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