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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 21

San Francisco 49ers vs Detroit Lions

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect Deebo Samuel to earn 6.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 80th percentile among wideouts.

Deebo Samuel has been one of the leading wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 3.9 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Deebo Samuel's 69.9% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a noteworthy progression in his receiving proficiency over last season's 63.4% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7.5-point advantage, the 49ers are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.

The projections expect the 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the 49ers to call the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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