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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the fewest plays run on the slate this week at 126.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Deebo Samuel is anticipated by the projections to position himself in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs with 6.7 targets.

With a high 23.9% Target% (87th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands as one of the wide receivers with the most usage in the league.

Deebo Samuel is positioned as one of the leading wide receivers in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 4.0 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Deebo Samuel's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 63.4% to 69.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the 49ers are a heavy favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their typical game plan.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the 49ers to pass on 52.4% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

The lowest number of plays in football have been run by the San Francisco 49ers this year (only 53.5 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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