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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Seattle Seahawks defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in football (38.5 per game) this year.

Deebo Samuel has run a route on 88.5% of his team's passing plays this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

The model projects Deebo Samuel to earn 6.6 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Deebo Samuel's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 63.4% to 75.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the 49ers being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 50.5% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by the projection model to have only 125.9 plays on offense called: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.

The San Francisco 49ers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 53.6 plays per game.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the importance it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the San Francisco 49ers grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year.

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