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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Eagles defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (43.0 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to notch 6.8 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • With an exceptional 20.7% Target% (77th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Deebo Samuel's 73.3% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a noteable improvement in his pass-catching skills over last season's 63.4% rate.
  • The Eagles cornerbacks profile as the 4th-worst group of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the 49ers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their usual approach.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 56.1% of their downs: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to call just 62.0 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 49ers have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 53.9 plays per game.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the 49ers ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.

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