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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

San Francisco 49ers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 51.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 46.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 9th-most in football.

The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to accrue 7.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 78th percentile when it comes to WRs.

With an elite 21.6% Target Rate (78th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places among the wideouts with the most usage in the NFL.

Deebo Samuel has accrued many more air yards this season (64.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the 49ers are projected by the projection model to run only 61.9 total plays in this contest: the 4th-fewest among all teams this week.

Deebo Samuel's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate decreasing from 69.3% to 60.8%.

Deebo Samuel's receiving effectiveness has declined this year, accumulating just 9.30 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.36 figure last year.

This year, the imposing Chiefs defense has conceded a puny 114.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

This year, the tough Chiefs defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a puny 6.7 yards.

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