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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 44.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 44.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The San Francisco 49ers will be forced to utilize backup quarterback Brandon Allen this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the 49ers are underdogs this week, implying more of a reliance on passing than their usual game plan.

Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel to notch 6.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 77th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Deebo Samuel comes in as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an exceptional 56.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

With an exceptional 7.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (96th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 127.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel's 73.9% Route Participation% this season shows an impressive drop-off in his passing offense usage over last season's 90.2% rate.

Deebo Samuel's sure-handedness have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 69.3% to 62.7%.

Deebo Samuel's 8.6 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a noteable decline in his pass-catching talent over last year's 10.4 mark.

This year, the strong Green Bay Packers defense has surrendered a meager 129.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing wideouts: the 6th-best in the NFL.

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