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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 62.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 62.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game versus the Seahawks defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The leading projections forecast Deebo Samuel to total 6.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.
  • With a fantastic 61.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the league.
  • Deebo Samuel comes in as one of the top wide receivers in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging an exceptional 8.28 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 98th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6-point favorite in this game.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 53.5% of their chances: the 4th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to have just 127.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.
  • Deebo Samuel's 41.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 49.2.
  • Deebo Samuel's 64.0% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 69.3% figure.

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