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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel to accrue 6.8 targets this week, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Deebo Samuel has put up quite a few more air yards this season (53.0 per game) than he did last season (46.0 per game).

With a remarkable 59.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (82nd percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands as one of the best wide receivers in the game in football.

With an excellent 8.46 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (99th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel rates as one of the leading pass-catching WRs in the league in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Our trusted projections expect the 49ers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run among all games this week at 125.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (70.0% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (90.2%).

Deebo Samuel's ball-catching skills have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 69.3% to 60.8%.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

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