Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM EST

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a sizeable 90.2% Route Participation% (85th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
After accumulating 32.0 air yards per game last year, Deebo Samuel has posted big gains this year, now boasting 44.0 per game.
With a fantastic 59.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (79th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel stands among the top wide receivers in the game in the NFL.
Deebo Samuel's sure-handedness have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 63.4% to 70.4%.
Deebo Samuel's receiving effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, accumulating 10.21 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 7.70 mark last year.

Favors Under

A running game script is implied by the 49ers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers to pass on 52.6% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the San Francisco 49ers offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.72 seconds per snap.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game against the Browns defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
The the San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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