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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect Deebo Samuel to notch 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 81st percentile among WRs.
  • After totaling 32.0 air yards per game last year, Deebo Samuel has gotten better this year, currently boasting 47.0 per game.
  • Deebo Samuel's 53.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 44.9.
  • With a terrific 60.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (79th percentile) this year, Deebo Samuel has been among the leading WRs in the league in the NFL.
  • Deebo Samuel's pass-game efficiency has gotten a boost this season, totaling 9.28 adjusted yards-per-target compared to just 7.70 rate last season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the 49ers to pass on 54.5% of their downs: the 5th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the San Francisco 49ers offense as the slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 31.28 seconds per snap.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally cause worse passing efficiency, lower air volume, and higher run volume.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Dallas Cowboys, averaging the fewest attempts in football (a measly 27.5 per game) this year.

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