Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 8.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
Deebo Samuel has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
Deebo Samuel has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 55.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
Deebo Samuel has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

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