My Account Log Out
 
 
Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 60.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 60.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to accrue 8.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Deebo Samuel has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, earning a Target Share of 27.8% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among wideouts.
  • Deebo Samuel has been among the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a terrific 55.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.
  • Deebo Samuel has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (39.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™