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Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 54.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to garner 8.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 84th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Deebo Samuel has been an integral part of his team's passing offense, garnering a Target Share of 27.3% this year, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Deebo Samuel has been among the leading pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a terrific 62.0 yards per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Deebo Samuel has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (28.0 per game) than he did last season (64.0 per game).
  • Deebo Samuel's pass-catching effectiveness has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 9.24 yards-per-target vs a 10.42 rate last year.

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