My Account Log Out

reorder

Deebo Samuel

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 46.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to earn 6.5 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 75th percentile among WRs.

The San Francisco 49ers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

Deebo Samuel's skills in grinding out extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, compiling 10.93 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs just 7.67 mark last season.

The Miami Dolphins linebackers grade out as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Deebo Samuel has notched far fewer air yards this season (33.0 per game) than he did last season (54.0 per game).

Deebo Samuel's 45.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this season than it was last season at 55.7.

More Deebo Samuel Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™