Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Deebo Samuel

NFL · Player Props

Deebo Samuel

WR · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 14, 2022 1:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Deebo Samuel Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Deebo Samuel to total 7.1 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 78th percentile among wide receivers.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line ranks as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
Deebo Samuel has been among the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging a stellar 58.0 yards per game while ranking in the 83rd percentile.
Deebo Samuel's skills in picking up extra yardage have gotten a boost this season, notching 11.65 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 8.66 mark last season.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has given up the 8th-highest Completion% in the league (68.6%) versus wide receivers this year (68.6%).

Favors Under

The 49ers are a heavy 7.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 127.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Deebo Samuel has accrued significantly fewer air yards this year (44.0 per game) than he did last year (64.0 per game).

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