My Account Log Out

reorder

DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.8% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 132.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.4 per game on average).

The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may slide.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Chiefs ranks as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game.

DeAndre Hopkins's 40.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 73.3.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has yielded a puny 58.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 2nd-smallest rate in football.

The Texans cornerbacks project as the 3rd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™