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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -128 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.8% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a massive 61.3 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game against the Bills defense this year: 9th-most in football.

In this game, DeAndre Hopkins is forecasted by the predictive model to land in the 81st percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.4 targets.

The predictive model expects DeAndre Hopkins to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing game in this game (21.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (13.6% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have only 124.6 offensive plays run: the fewest on the slate this week.

DeAndre Hopkins's 3.2 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a significant drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last year's 4.4 figure.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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