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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-185/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.

In this week's game, DeAndre Hopkins is expected by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 81st percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.5 targets.

DeAndre Hopkins's 70.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) grades out among the league leaders: 94th percentile for wideouts.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.

DeAndre Hopkins's 4.6 adjusted catches per game this season illustrates a significant regression in his receiving skills over last season's 6.8 mark.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has yielded the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (62%) vs. wideouts this year (62.0%).

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