DeAndre Hopkins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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DeAndre Hopkins

NFL · Player Props

DeAndre Hopkins

WR · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to notch 7.8 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among wide receivers.
DeAndre Hopkins has been among the best WRs in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 6.9 receptions per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects DeAndre Hopkins to be a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this week (24.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (30.0% in games he has played).
The Tennessee Titans offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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