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DeAndre Hopkins

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (37.4 per game) this year.

In this week's game, DeAndre Hopkins is predicted by the model to rank in the 95th percentile among WRs with 9.8 targets.

DeAndre Hopkins's 73.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the NFL: 97th percentile for wide receivers.

This year, the feeble Jacksonville Jaguars pass defense has given up a colossal 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing WRs: the 9th-biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football (58.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Titans.

The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 55.0 per game on average).

The Titans offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

DeAndre Hopkins's 4.3 adjusted receptions per game this year indicates a noteable regression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 6.8 mark.

More DeAndre Hopkins Player Props

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